受中国经济复苏和全球经济政策支撑 油价上涨

原标题:受中国经济复苏和全球经济政策支撑 油价上涨

    中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社8月31日报道,油价周一小幅上涨,布伦特原油期货价格将连续第五个月上涨,因全球经济刺激措施支撑油价,尽管在供应充足的市场上,需求难以恢复到疫情爆发前的水平。

    截至格林尼治标准时间04:35,11月布伦特原油期货LCOc1上涨28美分,涨幅0.6%,至每桶46.09美元,而美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货CLc1上涨18美分,涨幅0.4%,至每桶43.15美元。

    8月底,布伦特原油价格将连续第五个月上涨,8月5日触及每桶46.23美元的高点,为3月以来的最高水平。WTI价格将连续第四个月上涨,在8月26日劳拉飓风袭击时达到每桶43.78美元。

    据路透社市场分析师王涛称,油价可能会小幅走高,布伦特原油价格逼近每桶47美元,西德克萨斯中质原油重回8月高位。

    上周五,石油市场基本上没有受到飓风的影响,能源公司继续努力恢复在飓风前关闭的美国墨西哥湾海上平台和炼油厂的运营。

    分析师称,尽管在疫情的背景下燃料需求难以复苏,且供应仍然充足,原油未来可能面临障碍,但美元走软和中国服务业意外强劲的表现支撑了油价。

    OANDA亚太分析师Jeffrey Halley表示:"油价可能会温和地慢慢走高,而不是突然地上涨。充足的近期供应和脆弱的全球复苏抑制了油价上涨。”

    加拿大皇家银行资本(RBC Capital)分析师Mike Tran表示,原油定价略微有利,美元从当前水平走软对原油购买的影响是微乎其微的。在当前环境下,需求和价格弹性之间的关系被削弱了,因为石油已经很便宜而且很容易获得,并且目前存在需求缺口。

    来自Refinitiv和Vortexa的数据显示,中国9月份的原油进口量将出现五个月来的首次下降,原因是中国这个全球最大进口国的原油存储量创下了纪录。

    周五公布的数据显示,对冲基金和基金经理将对美国原油的多头头寸降至近四个月低点,反映出市场对原油供应上升和全球经济复苏乏力的担忧。

    能源服务公司贝克休斯(Baker Hughes Co.)的数据显示,美国8月份的油气钻井平台数量增加了3个,达到254个,这也促使石油和天然气价格的上涨。另外,据国家通讯社SPA报道,沙特能源部长周日表示,沙特阿美公司在北部地区发现了两个新的油气田。

    王佳晶 摘译自 路透社

    原文如下:

    Oil rises on stimulus support and China data, set for monthly gains

    Oil prices nudged up on Monday, with Brent futures set to post a fifth straight monthly gain, as global stimulus measures underpin prices even as demand struggles to return to pre-COVID levels in a well supplied market.

    Brent crude futures for November LCOc1 climbed 28 cents, or 0.6%, to $46.09 a barrel by 0435 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 was at $43.15 a barrel, up 18 cents, or 0.4%.

    Brent is set to close out August with a fifth successive monthly price rise, having peaked at $46.23 a barrel on Aug. 5, the highest level since March. WTI is on track for a fourth monthly rise, reaching $43.78 a barrel on Aug. 26 when Hurricane Laura struck.

    Technical charts showed that prices may nudge higher, with Brent heading toward $47 and WTI revisiting its August high, according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.

    Oil markets largely shrugged off the hurricane’s impact on Friday as energy companies continued efforts to restore operations at U.S. Gulf Coast offshore platforms and refineries shut before the storm.

    A weak U.S. dollar and a surprisingly strong performance in China’s services sector have supported oil prices even though fuel demand has struggled to recover amid the coronavirus pandemic and supplies remain ample, although crude may face hurdles going forward, analysts said.

    “Oil is likely to slowly grind higher in modest steps, not explode out of the wellhead higher,” OANDA’s Asia-Pacific analyst Jeffrey Halley said, adding that abundant near-term supplies and the fragility of the global recovery tempered price gains.

    RBC Capital’s analyst Mike Tran said the impact of a cheaper dollar from current levels would have a minimal impact on crude purchases, irrespective of slightly more favourable crude pricing.

    “The relationship between demand and price elasticity is blunted in the current environment, because oil is already cheap and readily available and there currently exists a dearth of buyers,” Tran said in an Aug. 27 note.

    China’s crude imports in September are set to fall for the first time in five months as record volumes of crude are stored in and outside of the world’s largest importer, data from Refinitiv and Vortexa showed.

    Reflecting concerns about rising supplies and sluggish global economic recovery, hedge funds and money managers cut bullish wagers on U.S. crude to the lowest level in nearly four months, data showed on Friday.

    Higher oil and gas prices are also encouraging U.S. producers to resume drilling as the country’s oil and gas rig count rose by three to 254 in August, according to data from energy services firm Baker Hughes Co.

    Separately, Saudi Aramco discovered two new oil and gas fields in the northern regions, the kingdom’s energy minister said on Sunday, state news agency SPA reported.